← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University1.15+0.93vs Predicted
-
2Miami University-0.89+3.22vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-0.51+1.49vs Predicted
-
4Ohio University-0.19-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.65-0.33vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo-1.26-0.11vs Predicted
-
7Cleveland State University-2.18+0.56vs Predicted
-
8Indiana University-1.18-2.27vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University-1.19-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.93Ohio State University1.1549.0%1st Place
-
5.22Miami University-0.896.5%1st Place
-
4.49Purdue University-0.519.2%1st Place
-
3.77Ohio University-0.1912.9%1st Place
-
4.67Hope College-0.658.3%1st Place
-
5.89University of Toledo-1.264.0%1st Place
-
7.56Cleveland State University-2.181.7%1st Place
-
5.73Indiana University-1.184.5%1st Place
-
5.75Ohio State University-1.193.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 49.0% | 25.6% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Hoeft | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Siri Schantz | 12.9% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Edmund Redman | 8.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 13.0% |
| Zak Hamil | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 16.8% | 51.4% |
| Ian Knox | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 10.5% |
| Ava Molinski | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.