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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University-0.02+3.38vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91-0.17vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.10+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.40-1.29vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-2.22vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.67-1.39vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.77-4.13vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.69-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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2.83Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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4.26Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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3.78Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.61Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.87Indiana University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.58Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Graves | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 6.7% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 28.4% | 22.2% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Burson | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.2% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| David Aspery | 14.5% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Colin Via | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 25.5% |
| Jon Callahan | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 31.0% |
| Tara Foster | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.