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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+1.77vs Predicted
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2Miami University-0.67+3.69vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.10+0.19vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-2.21vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.02-2.53vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo0.40-4.35vs Predicted
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9Denison University-0.69-3.30vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-0.77-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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5.69Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.19Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.79Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.47Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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5.7Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.75Indiana University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 29.1% | 24.0% | 17.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Colin Via | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 25.8% |
| Max Burson | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| David Aspery | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Evan Graves | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Irwin | 17.1% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Tara Foster | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 26.7% |
| Jon Callahan | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.