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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.34+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.40+0.71vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.91-2.22vs Predicted
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6Miami University0.10-1.75vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.02-2.52vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-0.77-2.20vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.67-4.31vs Predicted
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11Denison University-0.69-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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2.78Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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4.25Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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4.48Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.8Indiana University-0.770.1%1st Place
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5.69Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.56Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 14.9% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.8% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 29.5% | 22.2% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Max Burson | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Evan Graves | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 7.9% |
| Jon Callahan | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 29.4% |
| Colin Via | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 21.0% | 26.6% |
| Tara Foster | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 21.3% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.