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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ohio State University0.34+1.72vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.10+0.24vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.91-2.21vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.67-0.37vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.02-3.48vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo0.40-5.35vs Predicted
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10Denison University-0.69-4.28vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-0.77-5.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.24Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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2.79Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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5.63Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.52Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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5.72Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.73Indiana University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 15.7% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Max Burson | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 30.0% | 20.9% | 18.3% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Colin Via | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 24.5% |
| Evan Graves | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 8.5% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.4% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Tara Foster | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 20.8% | 26.8% |
| Jon Callahan | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.