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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ohio State University0.91+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.40+0.69vs Predicted
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5Miami University0.10-0.76vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-2.17vs Predicted
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7Denison University-0.69-1.33vs Predicted
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9Miami University-0.67-3.40vs Predicted
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11Indiana University-0.77-5.15vs Predicted
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12Ohio University-0.02-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.69University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.24Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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3.83Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.67Denison University-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.6Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.85Indiana University-0.770.1%1st Place
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4.34Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 27.3% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Max Burson | 12.6% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 5.5% |
| David Aspery | 15.4% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Tara Foster | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 23.2% |
| Colin Via | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 25.4% |
| Jon Callahan | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 31.4% |
| Evan Graves | 12.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.