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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.20+5.56vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.07+5.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.40+4.94vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.21+2.38vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+0.14vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00-1.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.43-1.16vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.34-2.84vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.08-5.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56Northwestern University0.206.5%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University-0.075.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Vermont-0.404.5%1st Place
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6.38U. S. Naval Academy0.217.6%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8211.3%1st Place
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4.55Northeastern University1.0014.1%1st Place
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5.84Tufts University0.439.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston University0.254.5%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island0.347.2%1st Place
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4.24Brown University1.0815.8%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Charles Crowell | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
Xavier Ayala Vermont | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
William Gear | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 28.1% |
Ethan Martin | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
Karya Basaraner | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
Charles Wilkinson | 14.1% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Patricia Winssinger | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
Richard Kalich | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 19.9% |
Pierson Falk | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
Julian Dahiya | 15.8% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
Tomas Riccio | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.