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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charles Crowell 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 7.0% 8.7% 9.1% 10.0% 11.5% 11.8% 11.4% 9.4%
Xavier Ayala Vermont 5.1% 6.1% 5.5% 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 10.2% 12.3% 16.2% 16.6%
William Gear 4.5% 4.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 4.7% 7.1% 9.0% 12.1% 15.1% 28.1%
Ethan Martin 7.6% 6.8% 8.0% 8.0% 9.0% 9.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.5% 9.6%
Karya Basaraner 11.3% 12.2% 10.8% 11.0% 10.1% 10.8% 9.6% 8.8% 7.8% 5.5% 2.2%
Charles Wilkinson 14.1% 12.4% 13.8% 12.7% 11.7% 10.0% 10.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.5% 1.1%
Patricia Winssinger 9.1% 7.5% 9.2% 9.5% 9.9% 11.9% 10.3% 9.8% 9.4% 8.5% 4.8%
Richard Kalich 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.8% 10.2% 11.8% 14.8% 19.9%
Pierson Falk 7.2% 8.4% 8.5% 9.2% 8.6% 10.1% 9.6% 10.3% 11.6% 10.2% 6.4%
Julian Dahiya 15.8% 16.1% 14.2% 12.6% 10.2% 9.6% 8.5% 6.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8%
Tomas Riccio 14.4% 14.5% 12.1% 14.1% 12.2% 9.7% 8.3% 6.7% 3.7% 3.1% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.