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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.66+0.44vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.22-0.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-0.22vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.85-0.17vs Predicted
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6American University1.85-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.42-0.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.42-1.16vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.77-3.00vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.82-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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2.44U. S. Naval Academy3.660.3%1st Place
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2.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.220.2%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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4.83Fordham University1.850.1%1st Place
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4.94American University1.850.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Rochester0.420.0%1st Place
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8.0Columbia University-0.770.0%1st Place
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8.08Drexel University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Steel | 19.5% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 31.5% | 27.8% | 19.4% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Zacher | 22.9% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 20.7% | 20.2% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Riordan | 5.7% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 24.9% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Russell Gasdia | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 20.8% | 27.2% | 15.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 13.1% | 40.0% | 25.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Troche | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 13.1% | 40.0% | 25.9% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Barczewski | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 12.7% | 33.7% | 43.9% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Gibbons | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 12.0% | 32.4% | 47.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.