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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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3Ohio State University0.91-0.25vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.34-0.21vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.69+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.40-2.32vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.02-3.52vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-0.77-3.22vs Predicted
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10Miami University0.10-5.69vs Predicted
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11Miami University-0.67-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.79Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.65Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.48Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.78Indiana University-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.31Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.55Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 29.7% | 23.9% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| David Aspery | 15.3% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Tara Foster | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 25.4% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Evan Graves | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Jon Callahan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 29.2% |
| Max Burson | 12.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Colin Via | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.