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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.57+3.29vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.47+2.09vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.38-0.35vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.09-0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-1.64+1.16vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-1.69+0.46vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-1.75-0.52vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.97-3.07vs Predicted
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9Cleveland State University-1.79-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Hope College-0.5712.6%1st Place
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4.09Purdue University-0.4713.6%1st Place
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2.65Miami University0.3830.5%1st Place
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3.41Ohio State University0.0918.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Toledo-1.645.2%1st Place
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6.46Ohio University-1.694.7%1st Place
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6.48Indiana University-1.753.6%1st Place
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4.93Ohio State University-0.978.0%1st Place
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6.54Cleveland State University-1.793.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Rutherford | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
James Miller | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
Nicholas Barillari | 30.5% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Emily Williams | 18.1% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Nicholas Silecky | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 20.3% |
Mo Snyder | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 20.1% | 23.2% |
John Griffis | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 19.8% | 23.4% |
Alexandra Avery | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
Katie Malchack | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.