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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Ohio State University0.34+1.72vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo0.40+0.71vs Predicted
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5Miami University0.10-0.75vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.91-3.18vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.77-1.15vs Predicted
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8Denison University-0.69-2.36vs Predicted
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10Miami University-0.67-4.31vs Predicted
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11Ohio University-0.02-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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4.25Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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2.82Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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5.85Indiana University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.64Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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5.69Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
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4.32Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Aspery | 15.5% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Max Burson | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 5.5% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 27.8% | 23.6% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jon Callahan | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 27.3% |
| Tara Foster | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 26.1% |
| Colin Via | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 26.7% |
| Evan Graves | 12.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.