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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.91+1.76vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.34+1.80vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.10+1.24vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.69+0.68vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.02-1.52vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-0.77-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo0.40-4.26vs Predicted
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12Miami University-0.67-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Ohio State University0.910.3%1st Place
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3.8Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.24Miami University0.100.1%1st Place
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5.68Denison University-0.690.1%1st Place
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4.48Ohio University-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.76Indiana University-0.770.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Toledo0.400.2%1st Place
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5.54Miami University-0.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gilbertson | 29.3% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| David Aspery | 15.6% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Max Burson | 12.0% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Tara Foster | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 20.0% | 26.0% |
| Evan Graves | 10.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Jon Callahan | 5.6% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 29.1% |
| Thomas Irwin | 16.2% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Colin Via | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.