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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio University0.13+2.72vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.32+1.42vs Predicted
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3Denison University1.46-1.00vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.11-0.19vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.62-3.90vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.93-2.81vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-1.63-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.42Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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2.0Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.81Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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3.1Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.19Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Freeman | 11.3% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 3.2% |
| John Salisbury | 13.6% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| William Floyd | 44.7% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Graves | 9.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 25.6% | 11.8% | 2.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 17.3% | 21.1% | 22.0% | 20.2% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Michael Metzen | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 8.4% | 27.1% | 55.6% |
| Andrew Logan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 38.3% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.