← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Denison University1.46+1.03vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.11+1.88vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.62+0.14vs Predicted
-
4Miami University0.32-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University0.13-1.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-1.63-1.67vs Predicted
-
11Miami University-1.80-4.45vs Predicted
-
12Indiana University-1.93-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.03Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
-
3.88Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
-
3.14Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
-
3.58Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
-
3.85Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.33University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
-
6.55Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.64Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Floyd | 44.9% | 27.2% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Graves | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Corinne Sackett | 18.2% | 20.0% | 22.0% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| John Salisbury | 12.0% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.7% | 14.5% | 19.3% | 18.2% | 20.7% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 23.7% | 29.0% | 26.0% |
| Jose Avila | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 28.6% | 35.2% |
| Michael Metzen | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 18.2% | 29.3% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.