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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.38+1.54vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.57+2.28vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.47+1.10vs Predicted
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4Ohio University-1.69+2.36vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.97+0.01vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.09-2.57vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.64-0.73vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-1.75-1.54vs Predicted
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9Cleveland State University-1.79-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Miami University0.3833.1%1st Place
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4.28Hope College-0.5711.3%1st Place
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4.1Purdue University-0.4712.2%1st Place
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6.36Ohio University-1.694.0%1st Place
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5.01Ohio State University-0.978.4%1st Place
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3.43Ohio State University0.0918.8%1st Place
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6.27University of Toledo-1.644.6%1st Place
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6.46Indiana University-1.753.8%1st Place
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6.56Cleveland State University-1.793.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Barillari | 33.1% | 24.4% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| James Miller | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Mo Snyder | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 20.9% |
| Alexandra Avery | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% |
| Emily Williams | 18.8% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Silecky | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| John Griffis | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 24.0% |
| Katie Malchack | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.