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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.11+2.69vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+0.02vs Predicted
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3Ohio University0.13+0.70vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.32-0.49vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.62-1.91vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.63-1.09vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.93-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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2.02Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.7Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.51Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.09Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.07Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Graves | 11.8% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| William Floyd | 43.3% | 28.4% | 16.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.0% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 24.2% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| John Salisbury | 13.6% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 20.7% | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| Corinne Sackett | 17.0% | 22.2% | 23.0% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 37.3% | 39.7% |
| Michael Metzen | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 28.4% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.