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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.62+2.06vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+0.08vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.32+0.59vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo-1.63+2.35vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.11-1.13vs Predicted
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6Ohio University0.13-2.17vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.93-3.30vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.80-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.08Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.59Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.87Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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3.83Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.7Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.51Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinne Sackett | 19.6% | 21.5% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Floyd | 41.3% | 28.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Salisbury | 12.9% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 10.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 22.6% | 29.4% | 26.8% |
| Alex Graves | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 19.2% | 21.8% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.0% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 22.0% | 11.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Metzen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 15.1% | 28.9% | 39.8% |
| Jose Avila | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 23.2% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.