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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.14+1.47vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.32+1.57vs Predicted
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5Denison University1.46-2.85vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-1.63-1.02vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.11-5.08vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.93-3.80vs Predicted
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11Ohio University0.13-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Ohio State University1.140.3%1st Place
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3.57Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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2.15Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
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5.98University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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3.92Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.2Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
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3.71Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Copfer | 29.6% | 26.6% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Salisbury | 11.1% | 15.1% | 20.6% | 23.8% | 19.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| William Floyd | 37.4% | 29.8% | 18.7% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Logan | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 38.9% | 39.5% |
| Alex Graves | 8.4% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 12.4% | 2.6% |
| Michael Metzen | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 8.7% | 28.9% | 54.2% |
| Abby Freeman | 12.1% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.