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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+3.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.30+5.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+2.91vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.71+2.79vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.42+1.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+0.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42-0.88vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31-0.71vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07-1.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72-3.86vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-7.30vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.13-1.48vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.08-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Roger Williams University2.0914.5%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University1.306.0%1st Place
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5.91Yale University1.909.3%1st Place
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6.79Northeastern University1.716.5%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University1.427.1%1st Place
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6.43Brown University1.829.0%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.3%1st Place
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7.12University of Rhode Island1.427.0%1st Place
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8.29Salve Regina University1.315.5%1st Place
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8.61Boston University1.074.8%1st Place
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7.14Brown University1.726.6%1st Place
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4.7Boston College2.2015.1%1st Place
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11.52Columbia University-0.131.2%1st Place
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11.74Harvard University-0.081.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Porter Bell | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 36.3% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 21.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.