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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+4.84vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+5.05vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+2.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+2.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+1.97vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+1.38vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42+0.07vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.71-1.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.55vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.20-5.46vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-2.31vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07-3.48vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.13-1.37vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.08-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Yale University1.9010.7%1st Place
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7.05University of Rhode Island1.426.9%1st Place
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5.04Roger Williams University2.0912.8%1st Place
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6.3Brown University1.829.2%1st Place
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6.97Brown University1.727.0%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University1.305.3%1st Place
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7.07Fordham University1.426.1%1st Place
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6.68Northeastern University1.718.2%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston College2.2016.4%1st Place
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8.69Salve Regina University1.314.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University1.074.7%1st Place
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11.63Columbia University-0.131.2%1st Place
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11.84Harvard University-0.081.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 12.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Jed Bell | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Will Priebe | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 16.4% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 5.3% |
| Porter Bell | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 22.2% | 38.2% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.