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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.20+5.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.07+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.40+4.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.21+2.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+0.22vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.00-1.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.43-1.12vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.25-0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.34-2.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.08-5.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.01-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Northwestern University0.206.0%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University-0.075.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Vermont-0.403.7%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy0.217.5%1st Place
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.8210.2%1st Place
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4.46Northeastern University1.0015.7%1st Place
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5.88Tufts University0.439.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston University0.253.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island0.347.8%1st Place
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4.12Brown University1.0817.5%1st Place
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4.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.0114.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Crowell | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| William Gear | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 27.3% |
| Ethan Martin | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Charles Wilkinson | 15.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 20.8% |
| Pierson Falk | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 17.5% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Tomas Riccio | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.