Race 10B

maisa-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Steel 19.0% 19.5% 22.0% 19.5% 11.9% 6.3% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.2% 13.3% 17.4% 21.1% 20.1% 13.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Russell Gasdia 4.9% 7.5% 8.7% 15.3% 18.6% 26.5% 14.3% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Timothy Zacher 22.2% 25.2% 20.2% 16.7% 10.3% 4.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Carminati 38.3% 25.1% 16.6% 10.0% 7.8% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John O'Riordan 5.7% 6.6% 10.5% 11.7% 22.5% 26.2% 13.9% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 5.7% 12.3% 39.7% 25.8% 8.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.6% 5.7% 12.3% 39.7% 25.8% 8.0% 0.0%
Ben Barczewski 0.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.7% 4.8% 12.6% 34.1% 43.7% 0.0%
Kelsey Gibbons 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.4% 3.3% 12.5% 31.9% 47.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.