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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+3.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+5.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+2.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+2.36vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20-0.31vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+1.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.52vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.72-0.96vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-2.30vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30-2.54vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-2.62vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.13-0.49vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.08-1.23vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.94Roger Williams University2.0914.3%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island1.426.2%1st Place
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5.96Yale University1.9010.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University1.827.9%1st Place
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4.69Boston College2.2014.8%1st Place
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7.12Fordham University1.426.7%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.2%1st Place
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7.04Brown University1.727.3%1st Place
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6.7Northeastern University1.717.6%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University1.306.5%1st Place
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8.38Salve Regina University1.315.3%1st Place
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11.51Columbia University-0.131.3%1st Place
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11.77Harvard University-0.081.2%1st Place
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8.43Boston University1.074.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 14.3% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Jed Bell | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Will Priebe | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 22.6% | 36.4% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 40.5% |
| Porter Bell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.