← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Denison University1.46+1.13vs Predicted
-
3Ohio University0.13+0.95vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University1.14-1.44vs Predicted
-
5Miami University0.32-1.30vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University0.11-1.97vs Predicted
-
8Indiana University-1.93-1.28vs Predicted
-
11Miami University-1.80-4.42vs Predicted
-
12University of Toledo-1.63-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.13Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
-
3.95Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
2.56Ohio State University1.140.3%1st Place
-
3.7Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
-
4.03Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
-
6.72Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
-
6.58Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
6.33University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Floyd | 41.3% | 26.1% | 17.3% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Devin Copfer | 26.1% | 28.1% | 21.6% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Salisbury | 11.0% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 21.2% | 22.3% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alex Graves | 8.4% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael Metzen | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 29.2% | 38.1% |
| Jose Avila | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 18.5% | 28.2% | 35.4% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 24.4% | 30.3% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.