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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+4.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+3.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+4.16vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+3.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+2.08vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.42+0.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20-2.32vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+0.70vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.13+2.59vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-3.35vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.82-4.68vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.08-0.29vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-4.48vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.30-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.1Roger Williams University2.0913.4%1st Place
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5.75Yale University1.9010.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island1.426.2%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.9%1st Place
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7.08Brown University1.728.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University1.427.8%1st Place
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4.68Boston College2.2015.9%1st Place
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8.7Boston University1.073.9%1st Place
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11.59Columbia University-0.131.1%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University1.717.4%1st Place
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6.32Brown University1.828.2%1st Place
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11.71Harvard University-0.081.4%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University1.314.6%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.306.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Jed Bell | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 15.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 21.2% | 37.7% |
| Will Priebe | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 20.6% | 39.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.