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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University1.14+1.51vs Predicted
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2Denison University1.46+0.19vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.32+0.69vs Predicted
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4Ohio University0.13-0.03vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University0.11-2.99vs Predicted
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9Indiana University-1.93-2.29vs Predicted
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11Miami University-1.80-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Toledo-1.63-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Ohio State University1.140.3%1st Place
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2.19Denison University1.460.4%1st Place
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3.69Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.97Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.01Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.71Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.59Miami University-1.800.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Copfer | 28.6% | 28.1% | 19.8% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Floyd | 37.5% | 27.5% | 18.7% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Salisbury | 11.8% | 13.5% | 19.8% | 21.5% | 19.8% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 24.0% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Alex Graves | 8.6% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Michael Metzen | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 17.9% | 29.0% | 37.7% |
| Jose Avila | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 17.7% | 29.2% | 35.2% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 10.0% | 24.0% | 30.7% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.