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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.42+6.14vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.20+2.61vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+4.03vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+4.63vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+0.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.09-1.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+0.41vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.72-0.99vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.52vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-3.35vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.07-2.49vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.08-0.29vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.82-6.50vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.13-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14University of Rhode Island1.427.6%1st Place
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4.61Boston College2.2016.4%1st Place
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7.03Fordham University1.426.7%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University1.313.5%1st Place
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5.75Yale University1.9010.2%1st Place
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4.92Roger Williams University2.0913.5%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University1.306.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University1.727.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.1%1st Place
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6.65Northeastern University1.718.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston University1.074.5%1st Place
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11.71Harvard University-0.081.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University1.828.2%1st Place
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11.66Columbia University-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nash | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 16.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Will Priebe | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Porter Bell | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 39.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 21.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.