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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Denison University1.46+1.03vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.62+1.03vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.32+0.43vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University0.11-0.26vs Predicted
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6Ohio University0.13-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-1.63-3.09vs Predicted
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10Indiana University-1.93-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03Denison University1.460.5%1st Place
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3.03Ohio State University0.620.2%1st Place
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3.43Miami University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.74Ohio State University0.110.1%1st Place
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3.77Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Toledo-1.630.0%1st Place
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6.09Indiana University-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Floyd | 45.2% | 25.1% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Corinne Sackett | 17.7% | 23.8% | 20.7% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| John Salisbury | 12.3% | 18.7% | 20.7% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Alex Graves | 11.7% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 11.5% | 2.3% |
| Abby Freeman | 9.9% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 11.2% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Logan | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 36.3% | 39.8% |
| Michael Metzen | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 28.3% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.