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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+6.46vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+4.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+1.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+3.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.90+0.92vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.42+0.08vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.42-1.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.09-3.89vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-1.53vs Predicted
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11Columbia University-0.13+0.54vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.72-5.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.08-1.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.07-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.5%1st Place
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6.33Brown University1.829.0%1st Place
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4.69Boston College2.2015.6%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University1.305.7%1st Place
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5.92Yale University1.909.8%1st Place
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6.91Northeastern University1.717.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island1.426.9%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University1.427.1%1st Place
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5.11Roger Williams University2.0913.5%1st Place
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8.47Salve Regina University1.314.8%1st Place
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11.54Columbia University-0.131.5%1st Place
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6.93Brown University1.727.4%1st Place
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11.69Harvard University-0.081.5%1st Place
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8.46Boston University1.074.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 15.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 4.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 37.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 21.4% | 40.9% |
| Porter Bell | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.