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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+5.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+2.70vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+0.67vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+2.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+0.37vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.07+1.57vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.54vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71-2.31vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.42-2.90vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-2.44vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.08-0.35vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-5.64vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.13-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Roger Williams University2.0913.9%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island1.426.2%1st Place
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5.7Yale University1.9010.3%1st Place
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4.67Boston College2.2015.4%1st Place
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7.04Brown University1.726.8%1st Place
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6.37Brown University1.828.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University1.074.5%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.0%1st Place
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6.69Northeastern University1.718.3%1st Place
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7.1Fordham University1.427.0%1st Place
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8.56Salve Regina University1.313.5%1st Place
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11.65Harvard University-0.081.6%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University1.306.8%1st Place
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11.64Columbia University-0.131.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Porter Bell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Will Priebe | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 39.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 23.2% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.