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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+6.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.42+4.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+1.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.20-0.43vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72+0.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.07+1.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University-0.08+3.83vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.42-2.01vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.90-4.16vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.82-4.56vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-3.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.71-6.11vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.13-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island1.427.6%1st Place
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4.97Roger Williams University2.0914.3%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University1.306.5%1st Place
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4.57Boston College2.2015.6%1st Place
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6.97Brown University1.726.6%1st Place
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8.58Boston University1.074.0%1st Place
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11.83Harvard University-0.081.4%1st Place
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6.99Fordham University1.426.7%1st Place
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5.84Yale University1.909.2%1st Place
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6.44Brown University1.827.9%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University1.314.4%1st Place
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6.89Northeastern University1.717.0%1st Place
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11.47Columbia University-0.131.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 14.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Porter Bell | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 20.5% | 42.6% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 22.8% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.