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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+10.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+6.24vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.16+9.46vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+5.61vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+7.06vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44+4.76vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+3.00vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95+0.22vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.64vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.26vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.43+4.59vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-3.43vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.52-2.74vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+0.31vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-1.43vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.57-6.13vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.48-1.23vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-5.22vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.41-8.39vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.36-8.75vs Predicted
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21Northeastern University3.26-9.43vs Predicted
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22University of Rhode Island3.05-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.95Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.46Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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12.06Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.76Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.64SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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15.59Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.26Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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14.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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13.57Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.87Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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15.77Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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12.78Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.25Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| William Bailey | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| John Renehan | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Axel Sly | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| William Macdonald | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Walker Banks | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 18.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Willem Sandberg | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 19.2% |
| Ian Towill | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.