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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.90+4.80vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+2.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+4.60vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.42+2.28vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-0.87vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.42+0.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.46vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.20-4.19vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.71-2.92vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72-3.76vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.07-3.34vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.08-1.29vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.13-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Yale University1.9011.5%1st Place
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4.96Roger Williams University2.0913.6%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University1.305.5%1st Place
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8.52Salve Regina University1.314.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island1.426.6%1st Place
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5.13Brown University2.2212.8%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.426.5%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.556.3%1st Place
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4.81Boston College2.2014.4%1st Place
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7.08Northeastern University1.716.6%1st Place
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7.24Brown University1.726.8%1st Place
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8.66Boston University1.073.0%1st Place
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11.71Harvard University-0.081.3%1st Place
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11.5Columbia University-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 11.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Stokke | 13.6% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 4.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Mason Stang | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Porter Bell | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 19.2% | 42.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 23.2% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.