Race 10A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Mulcahy 6.2% 7.4% 5.8% 8.0% 7.0% 7.5% 7.2% 8.1% 10.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.6% 5.4% 2.3%
Beckett Kumler 6.4% 6.5% 8.3% 6.7% 7.2% 9.2% 8.7% 7.8% 9.2% 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 4.5% 0.9%
Jed Bell 5.7% 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.2% 7.8% 7.4% 8.8% 9.2% 9.5% 8.8% 7.9% 5.3% 1.8%
Tyler Nash 6.3% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 6.7% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.6% 9.8% 8.4% 4.5% 1.9%
Nathan Sih 9.5% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 9.4% 9.5% 9.2% 8.3% 7.0% 6.0% 5.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Will Priebe 7.0% 8.0% 7.2% 7.4% 8.1% 7.6% 9.3% 9.1% 7.3% 9.5% 7.5% 6.7% 3.9% 1.4%
Michael Kirkman 13.9% 13.8% 12.6% 12.0% 10.6% 8.6% 7.8% 6.3% 5.7% 3.2% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Mason Stang 13.4% 11.2% 11.2% 11.6% 10.8% 10.0% 7.5% 7.6% 5.5% 4.8% 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 13.7% 12.6% 11.6% 10.2% 11.5% 9.8% 7.6% 6.2% 6.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Matthew Elliott 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 8.1% 5.8% 2.2%
Nils Tullberg 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.5% 6.2% 8.3% 9.1% 10.2% 13.1% 11.2% 4.5%
Matthew Cabot 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.1% 5.2% 5.2% 7.9% 21.2% 42.4%
Chase O'Malley 1.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 2.8% 5.1% 6.8% 10.8% 22.9% 36.2%
Porter Bell 5.1% 4.9% 5.2% 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 8.6% 6.3% 9.4% 9.7% 11.0% 11.8% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.