Race 11A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Kirkman 14.8% 13.0% 12.5% 10.8% 10.4% 9.8% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 3.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew Elliott 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.7% 7.4% 7.7% 8.8% 8.1% 9.0% 9.2% 6.0% 1.9%
Will Priebe 7.4% 6.7% 8.4% 7.8% 8.2% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 8.3% 9.4% 7.5% 6.8% 4.0% 1.2%
Jed Bell 6.6% 6.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0% 8.9% 8.6% 9.8% 7.8% 7.6% 4.7% 1.5%
Tyler Nash 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 6.8% 7.5% 7.4% 10.2% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.4% 4.8% 1.8%
Mason Stang 13.0% 11.5% 12.9% 11.4% 11.7% 9.2% 7.7% 7.2% 6.2% 3.7% 3.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 13.2% 13.4% 11.7% 10.7% 9.4% 9.8% 8.1% 7.1% 5.7% 4.4% 3.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4%
Nils Tullberg 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 5.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.7% 6.2% 8.2% 9.0% 11.7% 13.2% 10.8% 5.6%
Beckett Kumler 7.2% 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 6.9% 8.2% 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 6.3% 4.7% 1.6%
Matthew Cabot 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 5.3% 5.9% 9.6% 22.3% 39.5%
Nathan Sih 9.4% 10.1% 9.0% 10.6% 10.2% 8.5% 9.3% 8.5% 7.4% 6.3% 5.0% 3.5% 1.9% 0.3%
Porter Bell 3.9% 4.2% 4.7% 5.5% 5.4% 6.4% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 10.2% 12.3% 11.8% 6.2%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.9% 6.9% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 7.3% 8.4% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 10.5% 9.5% 5.5% 1.5%
Chase O'Malley 1.4% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 3.6% 3.2% 4.6% 6.4% 9.2% 21.2% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.