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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University3.26+10.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+8.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+9.09vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+5.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+7.23vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+6.78vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.57+2.76vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03+4.99vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+3.77vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.52+0.15vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.44-0.63vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.41-1.24vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-4.88vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-4.96vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-6.49vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.52-5.81vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.96-3.60vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-7.06vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.48-3.64vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College3.18-7.76vs Predicted
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21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-7.13vs Predicted
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22Eckerd College2.43-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.76Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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12.09Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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12.23Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.76Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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12.99Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.77University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.15Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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10.37Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.51Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.4Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.94Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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15.36Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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12.24Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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15.69Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.5% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Ian Towill | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Axel Sly | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| William Macdonald | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Willem Sandberg | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 16.6% |
| John Renehan | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Walker Banks | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.