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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+9.54vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+9.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+5.34vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+8.24vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.44+5.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03+6.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.52+3.03vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+1.70vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+3.04vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.43+5.62vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26+0.36vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.96+1.21vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-4.82vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.57-3.66vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-3.84vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.89vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-2.86vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-2.42vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.05-6.45vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University3.36-8.74vs Predicted
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21Old Dominion University3.82-12.28vs Predicted
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22SUNY Maritime College3.06-9.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.85Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.24Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.63Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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12.86Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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12.04Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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15.62Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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13.21Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.34Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.11Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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14.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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15.58Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.26Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.72Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.54SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| William Macdonald | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% |
| Axel Sly | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Willem Sandberg | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| John Renehan | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Walker Banks | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 18.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 11.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 18.8% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.