Race 12A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Kirkman 16.0% 13.6% 12.1% 11.8% 9.8% 8.9% 8.0% 6.8% 5.0% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Porter Bell 4.4% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 6.2% 8.2% 6.2% 7.9% 9.2% 9.9% 13.5% 10.9% 5.4%
Beckett Kumler 6.7% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.6% 8.4% 9.1% 7.3% 5.5% 1.8%
Jed Bell 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 9.3% 8.2% 8.6% 8.2% 6.8% 4.3% 1.6%
Matthew Cabot 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 9.9% 20.1% 40.4%
Will Priebe 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.5% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 7.4% 6.6% 4.2% 1.7%
Nathan Sih 9.4% 10.3% 8.7% 10.9% 10.0% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 6.7% 5.5% 5.7% 3.9% 1.9% 0.5%
Mason Stang 12.3% 12.2% 12.8% 10.8% 10.2% 9.6% 7.2% 7.9% 5.8% 4.2% 3.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Elliott 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 6.2% 6.4% 9.3% 9.0% 8.5% 11.3% 7.7% 7.2% 2.1%
Oliver Stokke 12.9% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 9.0% 6.5% 6.3% 4.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Nils Tullberg 4.2% 5.2% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 6.6% 7.1% 7.4% 8.4% 9.6% 10.9% 11.8% 9.8% 4.7%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.3% 5.2% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 7.6% 8.2% 8.2% 8.7% 9.4% 8.5% 9.1% 6.9% 2.1%
Tyler Nash 7.2% 6.0% 7.3% 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 8.9% 9.1% 8.6% 7.3% 5.4% 1.5%
Chase O'Malley 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 4.8% 4.9% 10.8% 21.8% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.