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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+3.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+6.19vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.72-0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.01vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.95+1.79vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.99+0.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+0.58vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.82-1.06vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University2.27-6.88vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.81-6.27vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-2.96vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-0.59-1.29vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.40-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97University of Southern California1.408.5%1st Place
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4.73University of Hawaii2.4113.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Washington1.838.8%1st Place
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10.19University of California at Berkeley0.982.6%1st Place
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4.09Stanford University2.7219.1%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.2%1st Place
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7.01California Poly Maritime Academy1.925.7%1st Place
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9.79University of California at San Diego0.952.9%1st Place
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9.51Arizona State University0.993.4%1st Place
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10.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.911.8%1st Place
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9.94California State University Channel Islands0.822.9%1st Place
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5.12San Diego State University2.2712.4%1st Place
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6.73Western Washington University1.817.0%1st Place
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11.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.1%1st Place
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13.71Santa Clara University-0.590.9%1st Place
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13.29University of Oregon-0.400.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 19.1% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Juan Casal | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Colin Olson | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 20.4% | 41.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 21.5% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.