Race 11B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jason Carminati 35.0% 25.9% 18.5% 11.8% 6.3% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Steel 15.4% 20.7% 21.2% 20.1% 13.2% 7.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Zacher 22.9% 22.1% 20.6% 15.2% 12.8% 5.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 12.9% 14.5% 16.3% 19.7% 18.9% 13.9% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
John O'Riordan 5.6% 8.4% 10.9% 13.2% 19.2% 23.9% 14.7% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 4.2% 6.4% 11.7% 39.7% 25.3% 8.0% 0.0%
Russell Gasdia 5.9% 5.7% 9.1% 13.2% 20.3% 27.9% 13.9% 3.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 4.2% 6.4% 11.7% 39.7% 25.3% 8.0% 0.0%
Kelsey Gibbons 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 1.2% 4.3% 11.7% 32.5% 47.0% 0.0%
Ben Barczewski 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.7% 3.3% 14.1% 33.3% 44.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.