Race 13A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Mulcahy 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 6.8% 8.4% 8.2% 6.7% 8.9% 7.9% 9.2% 9.4% 6.6% 2.1%
Nathan Sih 10.0% 9.8% 9.7% 8.1% 8.9% 10.1% 9.3% 8.2% 8.1% 6.9% 4.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Mason Stang 12.6% 12.7% 12.4% 12.4% 10.1% 9.0% 7.4% 7.6% 5.1% 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Beckett Kumler 6.0% 6.4% 6.4% 7.9% 9.1% 8.2% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 8.8% 8.5% 6.4% 5.5% 1.8%
Nils Tullberg 3.9% 4.7% 5.4% 5.8% 5.6% 5.1% 6.9% 7.8% 8.8% 8.2% 10.6% 11.4% 10.7% 5.2%
Oliver Stokke 12.6% 12.3% 12.0% 10.6% 11.5% 9.2% 8.0% 7.2% 5.8% 4.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Tyler Nash 6.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.5% 6.8% 7.6% 8.2% 9.1% 9.0% 8.5% 7.8% 7.3% 4.8% 2.3%
Will Priebe 7.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.7% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 8.2% 9.0% 8.6% 6.5% 3.4% 1.5%
Chase O'Malley 0.9% 1.8% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.0% 3.6% 5.3% 6.7% 9.5% 22.9% 37.1%
Jed Bell 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.0% 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 8.1% 5.1% 1.4%
Matthew Cabot 1.4% 1.8% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 4.5% 6.9% 8.9% 21.1% 39.8%
Matthew Elliott 7.0% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 8.5% 10.2% 5.7% 2.4%
Porter Bell 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.6% 5.5% 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 10.0% 10.4% 13.0% 10.5% 5.7%
Michael Kirkman 15.1% 13.2% 12.2% 11.6% 9.8% 10.1% 8.5% 6.5% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.