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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+9.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+10.10vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+10.13vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+4.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+4.62vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+2.30vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+3.54vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.80vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.05+3.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23+1.62vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.92vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.44-1.31vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-1.37vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.52-3.36vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.43+1.18vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-5.83vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.36-5.73vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-9.36vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.96-6.05vs Predicted
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20Cornell University2.48-4.28vs Predicted
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21Yale University3.57-11.07vs Predicted
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22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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12.1Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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13.13Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.62Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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11.92Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.69Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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11.63Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.64Tufts University3.520.0%1st Place
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16.18Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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10.17Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.95Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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15.72Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.93Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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13.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| John Renehan | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Ian Towill | 3.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| William Bailey | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Axel Sly | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Willem Sandberg | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Walker Banks | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 20.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 18.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.