Race 14A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Kirkman 16.1% 12.9% 14.0% 10.4% 10.1% 9.1% 7.9% 6.0% 5.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Tyler Nash 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 7.6% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.6% 5.8% 1.5%
Mason Stang 13.4% 13.3% 10.8% 12.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.0% 8.1% 5.5% 4.5% 3.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Mulcahy 4.7% 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.8%
Nathan Sih 9.6% 10.5% 10.2% 9.4% 10.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.5% 7.3% 7.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Beckett Kumler 6.6% 6.7% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 8.8% 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.6% 9.2% 7.4% 4.4% 1.6%
Porter Bell 3.6% 4.9% 4.7% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 8.0% 9.1% 11.6% 12.0% 11.1% 5.8%
Jed Bell 7.0% 6.6% 7.3% 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.9% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 1.6%
Matthew Elliott 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 7.0% 6.5% 7.0% 8.8% 8.3% 9.0% 8.9% 9.4% 8.9% 6.3% 2.0%
Oliver Stokke 13.7% 12.3% 11.5% 10.4% 10.3% 9.6% 7.4% 7.3% 5.3% 5.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Chase O'Malley 1.4% 0.9% 2.2% 1.5% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 5.5% 11.1% 23.1% 36.7%
Nils Tullberg 4.3% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.9% 7.2% 8.2% 8.8% 10.4% 14.1% 10.9% 5.0%
Will Priebe 6.7% 7.6% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 9.0% 9.4% 8.8% 7.6% 8.3% 5.9% 4.6% 0.9%
Matthew Cabot 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.7% 4.0% 3.9% 5.5% 9.1% 20.6% 41.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.