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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+9.28vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.37vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.87+10.36vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+4.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+1.94vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+4.74vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.06+4.73vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.17+3.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+3.86vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23+1.06vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.89+1.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.05+0.11vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.11-1.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.34-3.03vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.70-5.87vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.84-2.88vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.74-3.12vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.74-0.05vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-12.25vs Predicted
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20Salve Regina University2.54-5.14vs Predicted
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21University of Vermont2.78-7.63vs Predicted
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22Yale University3.29-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.28Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.37Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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13.36University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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11.73Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University3.170.0%1st Place
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12.86Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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12.75Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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12.11Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.78Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.13Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.88SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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17.95Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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14.86Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont2.780.0%1st Place
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10.72Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Tony Collins | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Drew Shea | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Mike Carr | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% |
| Colin Keil | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 40.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Emily Billing | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.