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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+4.42vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.94+3.81vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+4.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+2.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.60+1.14vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46+1.11vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.18-2.11vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33-1.41vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07-1.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.54-2.41vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.01-3.07vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.29+1.01vs Predicted
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131.05-5.16vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.20-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Boston College1.9710.8%1st Place
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5.81Fordham University1.9410.9%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.8%1st Place
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6.28Brown University1.788.2%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University1.609.6%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University0.467.3%1st Place
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4.89Yale University2.1814.3%1st Place
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6.59Brown University1.338.9%1st Place
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7.69Northeastern University1.075.5%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University1.546.7%1st Place
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7.93Boston University1.014.7%1st Place
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13.01Columbia University-1.290.2%1st Place
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7.841.055.5%1st Place
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11.07Harvard University-0.201.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 13.3% | 69.7% |
| Olin Guck | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 33.6% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.