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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.94+4.93vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.18+2.81vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+4.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+1.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+2.63vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60+0.24vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+0.17vs Predicted
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81.05-0.34vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.20+2.02vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.07-2.27vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.78-4.89vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.54-4.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.33-6.29vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.29-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Fordham University1.9410.4%1st Place
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4.81Yale University2.1815.0%1st Place
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7.91Boston University1.015.8%1st Place
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5.34Boston College1.9711.8%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.9%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University1.609.3%1st Place
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7.17Salve Regina University0.466.8%1st Place
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7.661.056.2%1st Place
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11.02Harvard University-0.201.4%1st Place
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7.73Northeastern University1.075.8%1st Place
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6.11Brown University1.788.5%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University1.544.9%1st Place
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6.71Brown University1.338.1%1st Place
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12.98Columbia University-1.290.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack Roman | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Olin Guck | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 31.6% | 18.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 12.7% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.