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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+10.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+7.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.73+4.64vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54+9.66vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.15vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29+2.96vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23+2.16vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84+3.07vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.34-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.78+1.47vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.74+5.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.17-2.15vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.89vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.90-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.87-3.78vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.70-9.34vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College3.11-7.45vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College2.74-6.17vs Predicted
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21Stanford University3.06-9.04vs Predicted
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22Eckerd College2.89-9.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.16Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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14.66Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.4Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.96Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Naval Academy3.340.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont2.780.0%1st Place
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18.04Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University3.170.0%1st Place
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11.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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12.77Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.55Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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13.83SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
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11.96Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
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12.86Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Billing | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 2.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Colin Keil | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 40.4% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Elliott Morrill | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Mike Carr | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Tony Collins | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.