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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.07+6.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+5.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.78+3.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.97+1.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.54+2.68vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60+0.19vs Predicted
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71.05+0.79vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33-1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01-0.98vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-2.80vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.18-6.10vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.94-6.24vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-1.89vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.29-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Northeastern University1.074.7%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.256.2%1st Place
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6.05Brown University1.789.2%1st Place
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5.4Boston College1.9712.2%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University1.545.3%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University1.609.8%1st Place
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7.791.056.2%1st Place
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6.55Brown University1.338.2%1st Place
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8.02Boston University1.014.5%1st Place
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7.2Salve Regina University0.466.7%1st Place
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4.9Yale University2.1815.2%1st Place
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5.76Fordham University1.9410.2%1st Place
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11.11Harvard University-0.201.4%1st Place
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13.03Columbia University-1.290.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Jack Roman | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 33.1% | 18.9% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 12.3% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.