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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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11.05+6.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.01+5.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.78+3.05vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+3.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.18-0.12vs Predicted
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6Harvard University-0.20+5.10vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+0.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33-1.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.54-1.37vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.97-4.63vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-3.37vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.60-5.86vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-1.29-0.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.94-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.791.055.2%1st Place
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7.89Boston University1.015.5%1st Place
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6.05Brown University1.789.2%1st Place
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7.2Salve Regina University0.466.6%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.1814.3%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University-0.201.5%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.254.9%1st Place
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6.54Brown University1.338.6%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.545.9%1st Place
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5.37Boston College1.9712.1%1st Place
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7.63Northeastern University1.076.8%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University1.609.2%1st Place
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12.96Columbia University-1.290.5%1st Place
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6.02Fordham University1.949.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Guck | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 32.6% | 20.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| Jack Roman | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 14.1% | 69.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.