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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.78+5.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.18+2.93vs Predicted
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3Harvard University-0.20+8.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.94+1.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+2.58vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07+1.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+0.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.54-0.42vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01-0.96vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.97-4.71vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.60-5.17vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-5.19vs Predicted
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131.05-5.21vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.29-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Brown University1.788.8%1st Place
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4.93Yale University2.1814.8%1st Place
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11.06Harvard University-0.201.4%1st Place
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5.94Fordham University1.949.8%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.256.5%1st Place
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7.8Northeastern University1.074.9%1st Place
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7.16Salve Regina University0.466.5%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University1.545.8%1st Place
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8.04Boston University1.015.2%1st Place
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5.29Boston College1.9712.0%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University1.6010.8%1st Place
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6.81Brown University1.337.8%1st Place
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7.791.055.1%1st Place
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13.04Columbia University-1.290.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 34.6% | 18.2% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 1.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Roman | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Olin Guck | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 13.4% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.