← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.73+7.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.87+10.97vs Predicted
-
3Brown University3.05+9.41vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29+6.86vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.74+8.65vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.41+4.29vs Predicted
-
7Boston College4.12-0.24vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.06+4.17vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.90+3.89vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.17+1.37vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.60vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.74+6.15vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.79-4.61vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.78-0.13vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.84-1.41vs Predicted
-
16Boston University3.70-7.31vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.11-5.12vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College3.23-6.95vs Predicted
-
19U. S. Naval Academy3.34-8.61vs Predicted
-
20Eckerd College2.89-6.92vs Predicted
-
21Salve Regina University2.54-6.46vs Predicted
-
22U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-15.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.73Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
12.97University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
-
12.41Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.86Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
-
13.65SUNY Maritime College2.740.0%1st Place
-
10.29Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
-
6.76Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
12.17Stanford University3.060.0%1st Place
-
12.89Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
11.37Old Dominion University3.170.0%1st Place
-
10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
-
18.15Cornell University1.740.0%1st Place
-
8.39Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
13.87University of Vermont2.780.0%1st Place
-
13.59Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
8.69Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.88Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
-
11.05Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
10.39U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
-
13.08Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
14.54Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Drew Shea | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Emily Billing | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Mike Carr | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Raul Rios | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Yuki Yoshiyasu | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Evan Hoffmann | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Colin Keil | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 14.1% | 37.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bo McClatchy | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Tony Collins | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.