Race 1A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric Siegel 17.5% 14.3% 13.9% 13.4% 12.0% 13.0% 8.9% 5.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Gerard Tonachel 19.4% 19.2% 16.4% 14.1% 12.7% 8.2% 6.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Don Hause III 21.5% 19.5% 16.8% 15.5% 12.2% 8.2% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 6.9% 7.9% 9.7% 11.1% 12.2% 15.0% 17.2% 14.1% 5.5% 0.4%
Charles Peck 15.0% 15.3% 16.2% 15.7% 12.9% 11.0% 6.9% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Joan Boyle 8.3% 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 12.6% 12.9% 15.8% 18.8% 6.0% 0.4%
Zachary Schippe 4.7% 8.2% 10.6% 8.5% 12.1% 15.1% 17.6% 16.7% 5.7% 0.8%
Annie Eckmann 5.5% 7.2% 6.9% 9.6% 10.0% 12.6% 17.1% 22.5% 7.6% 1.0%
Laine Meelheim 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 3.7% 8.9% 49.2% 28.6%
Christopher Cormier 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 3.0% 22.6% 68.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.