← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.18+3.86vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.01+6.03vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.60+3.02vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.94+1.93vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+2.60vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.46+1.14vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.97-1.67vs Predicted
-
81.05-0.02vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.07-1.28vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University-0.20+1.09vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.54-3.41vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.78-5.95vs Predicted
-
13Brown University1.33-6.32vs Predicted
-
14Columbia University-1.29-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86Yale University2.1814.9%1st Place
-
8.03Boston University1.014.7%1st Place
-
6.02Roger Williams University1.6010.2%1st Place
-
5.93Fordham University1.949.9%1st Place
-
7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.9%1st Place
-
7.14Salve Regina University0.467.1%1st Place
-
5.33Boston College1.9712.1%1st Place
-
7.981.054.5%1st Place
-
7.72Northeastern University1.075.3%1st Place
-
11.09Harvard University-0.201.6%1st Place
-
7.59Tufts University1.545.5%1st Place
-
6.05Brown University1.789.8%1st Place
-
6.68Brown University1.338.1%1st Place
-
12.98Columbia University-1.290.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Jack Roman | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 1.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 34.2% | 19.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 12.6% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.