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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+6.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.18+2.90vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.78+3.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+2.62vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+0.21vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.46+1.20vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.54+0.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-0.49vs Predicted
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91.05-1.21vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.60-3.88vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.07-3.12vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-1.29+0.93vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-1.89vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.94-8.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.96Boston University1.015.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University2.1815.0%1st Place
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6.12Brown University1.789.8%1st Place
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6.62Brown University1.338.5%1st Place
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5.21Boston College1.9712.9%1st Place
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7.2Salve Regina University0.466.9%1st Place
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7.66Tufts University1.544.9%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.7%1st Place
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7.791.055.9%1st Place
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6.12Roger Williams University1.609.3%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University1.074.6%1st Place
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12.93Columbia University-1.290.4%1st Place
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11.11Harvard University-0.201.6%1st Place
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5.98Fordham University1.949.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Olin Guck | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Jack Roman | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 12.4% | 69.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 34.5% | 19.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.