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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.21vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.52vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.51+1.01vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.55+1.87vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.45-0.97vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.81-0.66vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-1.44vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.33+0.62vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-3.60vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
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3.52Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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4.01U. S. Naval Academy2.510.2%1st Place
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5.87Christopher Newport University1.550.0%1st Place
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4.03Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.34Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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5.56Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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8.62Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.4Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 25.0% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 19.2% | 19.0% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Peck | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Annie Eckmann | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gebb | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Schippe | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 49.5% | 27.7% |
| Joan Boyle | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 6.2% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 22.1% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.