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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.25vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.55+3.87vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.81+2.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.51-0.06vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology2.75-1.51vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-0.52vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-1.55vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45-3.98vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21+0.42vs Predicted
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10Rutgers University-0.33-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.3%1st Place
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5.87Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.44Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.94U. S. Naval Academy2.510.1%1st Place
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3.49Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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5.48Ocean County College1.730.1%1st Place
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5.45Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.02Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.65Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 25.1% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 9.0% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gebb | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Charles Peck | 13.4% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 19.4% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Schippe | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Joan Boyle | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Eric Siegel | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 20.6% | 69.9% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 49.9% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.