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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.72+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+2.66vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University2.27+2.07vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.81+2.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.96vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.83-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.40-1.02vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.82+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.95-1.09vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.99-2.69vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-0.59+0.66vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-3.70vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-3.73vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.40-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Stanford University2.7218.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Hawaii2.4114.6%1st Place
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5.07San Diego State University2.2713.0%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University1.818.3%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.676.2%1st Place
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7.03California Poly Maritime Academy1.927.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Washington1.838.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Southern California1.407.3%1st Place
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10.07California State University Channel Islands0.822.6%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Berkeley0.982.5%1st Place
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9.91University of California at San Diego0.953.0%1st Place
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9.31Arizona State University0.994.0%1st Place
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13.66Santa Clara University-0.590.5%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.912.1%1st Place
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11.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.351.5%1st Place
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13.35University of Oregon-0.400.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 18.4% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Henry Boeger | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Luke Harris | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Juan Casal | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 19.2% | 40.6% |
| Colin Olson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 21.8% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.