Race 12B

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Tyler Steel 20.2% 20.0% 19.4% 17.3% 13.9% 7.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Zacher 18.1% 22.1% 23.4% 17.7% 11.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Russell Gasdia 5.5% 7.0% 9.1% 12.1% 18.7% 29.8% 14.2% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Boger 11.6% 15.9% 15.1% 21.4% 19.1% 12.6% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John O'Riordan 5.8% 8.1% 10.9% 12.9% 21.0% 22.3% 14.9% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 6.7% 11.8% 40.3% 24.9% 8.0% 0.0%
Jason Carminati 36.4% 23.9% 18.4% 13.2% 6.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Troche 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 3.1% 6.7% 11.8% 40.3% 24.9% 8.0% 0.0%
Ben Barczewski 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 4.2% 11.8% 34.3% 44.6% 0.0%
Kelsey Gibbons 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.6% 3.9% 12.0% 32.5% 47.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.