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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.81+4.30vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+1.52vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.30vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.55+1.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.51-1.08vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.75-0.56vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College1.73-1.43vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45-3.98vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.33-0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.21-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Princeton University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.52Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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3.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.2%1st Place
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5.86Christopher Newport University1.550.1%1st Place
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3.92U. S. Naval Academy2.510.2%1st Place
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5.44Drexel University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.57Ocean County College1.730.0%1st Place
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4.02Washington College2.450.2%1st Place
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8.65Rutgers University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gebb | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Gerard Tonachel | 19.9% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Don Hause III | 21.4% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Annie Eckmann | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Charles Peck | 15.1% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joan Boyle | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 6.0% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Schippe | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 19.2% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Siegel | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Laine Meelheim | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 49.0% | 28.3% |
| Christopher Cormier | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 22.1% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.