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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Joslin 11.6% 11.6% 12.0% 10.0% 10.7% 8.2% 9.4% 7.7% 6.1% 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Bryan Trammell 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 6.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.3% 8.5% 4.9% 1.8%
Peter Lobaugh 9.0% 11.2% 12.3% 9.2% 8.1% 9.3% 8.4% 8.2% 6.2% 6.8% 5.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Hunter Zonnenberg 9.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.0% 9.8% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 4.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Emil Tullberg 6.8% 7.6% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 8.1% 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 8.0% 8.1% 4.8% 1.5%
Joshua Dillon 5.9% 4.9% 5.8% 7.0% 6.8% 7.0% 7.0% 8.1% 8.9% 9.1% 9.2% 11.1% 7.9% 1.5%
Nathan Selian 4.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 7.0% 8.8% 9.0% 9.6% 11.9% 9.6% 1.5%
Mateo Farina 14.6% 13.1% 11.5% 11.2% 9.9% 8.8% 8.3% 7.1% 5.7% 3.9% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Olin Guck 5.9% 5.5% 5.8% 6.7% 5.7% 7.3% 7.3% 8.6% 8.8% 9.1% 10.3% 10.3% 7.4% 1.2%
Max Katz-Christy 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 8.6% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 10.2% 6.4% 1.5%
Jack Roman 9.7% 10.1% 8.7% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.4% 8.6% 8.0% 6.9% 6.2% 4.9% 2.3% 0.4%
Charlotte Costikyan 8.4% 7.6% 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 8.8% 7.8% 7.6% 9.2% 7.9% 7.4% 6.5% 3.8% 0.8%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.7% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 5.0% 7.7% 11.7% 34.1% 19.8%
Alison Keenan 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 13.5% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.