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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.97+4.35vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.54+5.47vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.94+2.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.78+2.14vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+2.08vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.07+1.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.01+1.04vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.18-3.04vs Predicted
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91.05-1.25vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25-2.40vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.60-4.85vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-5.29vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-1.81vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.29-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Boston College1.9711.6%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University1.545.9%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University1.949.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University1.789.4%1st Place
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7.08Salve Regina University0.466.8%1st Place
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7.79Northeastern University1.075.9%1st Place
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8.04Boston University1.014.8%1st Place
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4.96Yale University2.1814.6%1st Place
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7.751.055.9%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.255.5%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University1.609.7%1st Place
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6.71Brown University1.338.4%1st Place
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11.19Harvard University-0.201.7%1st Place
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12.91Columbia University-1.290.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Peter Joslin | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Bryan Trammell | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
Peter Lobaugh | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Emil Tullberg | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
Joshua Dillon | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
Nathan Selian | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
Mateo Farina | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Olin Guck | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
Max Katz-Christy | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
Jack Roman | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Charlotte Costikyan | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 34.1% | 19.8% |
Alison Keenan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 13.5% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.