Race 10B

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Lobaugh 10.2% 9.3% 10.5% 9.4% 8.3% 9.8% 8.0% 9.0% 7.0% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Peter Joslin 12.6% 11.8% 11.5% 11.3% 10.2% 9.8% 7.6% 7.4% 6.9% 4.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Mateo Farina 14.8% 13.8% 12.2% 10.2% 10.2% 8.8% 9.0% 7.0% 5.5% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Olin Guck 6.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.0% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 7.4% 8.3% 8.9% 9.4% 10.5% 8.2% 1.8%
Joshua Dillon 5.1% 5.1% 6.9% 6.9% 6.4% 6.5% 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 8.9% 10.7% 10.2% 8.3% 1.7%
Bryan Trammell 5.4% 5.5% 5.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.3% 8.7% 8.0% 9.5% 10.1% 9.0% 9.8% 5.9% 1.7%
Emil Tullberg 6.0% 6.7% 8.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.9% 8.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.3% 9.0% 5.5% 0.6%
Hunter Zonnenberg 9.6% 9.6% 9.0% 8.6% 9.7% 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 6.7% 6.8% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Nathan Selian 5.5% 5.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 11.8% 8.3% 2.1%
Max Katz-Christy 5.7% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 8.0% 10.2% 9.4% 10.7% 7.2% 1.2%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.3% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 7.6% 8.1% 7.5% 9.2% 9.4% 8.3% 7.6% 5.7% 3.1% 0.7%
Alison Keenan 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 4.5% 12.2% 70.5%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 2.7% 4.5% 4.9% 8.0% 12.1% 34.4% 18.4%
Jack Roman 9.3% 9.0% 7.7% 9.3% 10.7% 8.9% 7.9% 8.8% 8.1% 7.3% 5.8% 4.5% 2.1% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.