Race 5A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Don Hause III 19.5% 20.3% 16.3% 14.0% 12.5% 8.1% 6.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 7.2% 8.1% 7.7% 9.4% 11.6% 12.3% 14.3% 12.7% 12.2% 4.3% 0.2%
Charles Peck 14.4% 12.6% 14.3% 13.9% 12.2% 12.4% 9.3% 6.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 17.0% 16.8% 15.7% 16.0% 12.5% 9.3% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 7.3% 7.5% 8.4% 8.5% 10.5% 10.9% 12.8% 13.9% 13.3% 6.5% 0.4%
Joan Boyle 5.5% 9.7% 7.6% 9.7% 10.1% 12.2% 12.5% 13.9% 12.5% 5.7% 0.6%
Annie Eckmann 7.1% 5.6% 8.7% 7.1% 9.2% 11.9% 13.4% 15.7% 14.6% 5.7% 1.0%
Scott Barnhill 4.5% 4.3% 4.9% 6.4% 7.9% 9.1% 11.6% 15.2% 22.4% 11.9% 1.8%
Laine Meelheim 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 5.9% 10.6% 44.0% 28.0%
Eric Siegel 15.9% 14.0% 15.1% 12.5% 11.0% 11.1% 8.7% 7.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Christopher Cormier 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 4.4% 20.3% 68.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.