Race 6A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Don Hause III 20.3% 19.2% 16.8% 15.2% 11.0% 8.0% 6.2% 2.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 7.5% 6.1% 9.6% 9.1% 10.5% 11.4% 14.5% 13.6% 12.0% 5.4% 0.3%
Annie Eckmann 5.5% 6.1% 6.1% 7.1% 8.8% 10.4% 13.8% 17.6% 16.5% 7.0% 1.1%
Charles Peck 13.0% 14.7% 12.7% 14.6% 13.4% 12.1% 10.1% 5.5% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 18.7% 17.8% 14.9% 14.9% 13.1% 7.8% 5.6% 4.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 6.7% 8.2% 9.8% 9.3% 10.5% 11.9% 13.9% 13.6% 11.1% 4.8% 0.2%
Eric Siegel 16.2% 14.3% 14.5% 14.1% 11.1% 13.1% 6.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Laine Meelheim 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 6.7% 12.3% 41.9% 28.1%
Scott Barnhill 3.8% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 6.8% 9.4% 12.1% 14.9% 21.5% 13.6% 2.7%
Zachary Schippe 6.8% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 12.2% 12.5% 13.0% 12.5% 12.1% 4.9% 0.6%
Christopher Cormier 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.4% 4.7% 20.4% 67.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.