Race 11B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Farina 13.7% 14.5% 10.4% 10.9% 11.1% 8.4% 7.9% 6.7% 5.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Jack Roman 9.2% 8.8% 10.8% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% 5.3% 6.4% 4.8% 2.6% 0.4%
Bryan Trammell 5.8% 6.8% 5.9% 6.4% 6.9% 7.0% 8.1% 8.1% 7.6% 8.8% 10.1% 9.8% 7.3% 1.4%
Peter Joslin 12.6% 10.4% 11.6% 10.9% 9.6% 9.7% 9.1% 7.4% 6.1% 5.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Max Katz-Christy 5.8% 6.5% 6.2% 6.7% 6.7% 6.8% 6.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 7.2% 1.1%
Hunter Zonnenberg 9.8% 9.4% 10.2% 8.5% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 7.3% 7.3% 7.5% 5.9% 5.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Connor Macken 7.4% 7.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.5% 9.4% 7.8% 8.5% 7.9% 9.2% 8.0% 6.2% 3.5% 0.7%
Emil Tullberg 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 8.6% 7.8% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.6% 3.9% 0.9%
Nathan Selian 4.8% 5.5% 5.0% 6.0% 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 9.4% 11.1% 11.8% 8.0% 1.4%
Joshua Dillon 6.5% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 6.6% 6.0% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1% 9.3% 9.9% 10.6% 7.1% 2.0%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.8% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 4.4% 5.1% 7.5% 11.3% 32.8% 20.5%
Peter Lobaugh 10.4% 10.8% 10.4% 9.6% 8.8% 9.5% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 5.5% 4.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Alison Keenan 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 14.3% 68.7%
Olin Guck 5.2% 5.1% 6.0% 5.7% 7.3% 7.5% 7.4% 8.2% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 10.5% 7.8% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.