Race 7A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Gerard Tonachel 17.1% 17.4% 16.7% 13.8% 12.2% 11.2% 7.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 9.1% 10.1% 13.1% 12.4% 15.6% 12.3% 4.5% 0.6%
Don Hause III 20.3% 18.0% 17.4% 13.9% 11.0% 9.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 6.3% 7.6% 7.4% 8.1% 10.9% 13.4% 14.6% 13.9% 12.0% 5.4% 0.4%
Eric Siegel 14.9% 14.4% 11.8% 14.2% 13.6% 9.4% 9.0% 7.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Charles Peck 15.5% 15.2% 13.7% 16.0% 10.6% 9.4% 8.3% 6.5% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Joan Boyle 7.8% 8.2% 9.6% 8.3% 12.7% 11.5% 13.4% 13.1% 11.1% 4.0% 0.3%
Annie Eckmann 6.2% 5.8% 8.8% 8.5% 9.9% 11.3% 11.2% 13.8% 16.2% 7.6% 0.7%
Sarah Celone 4.2% 4.8% 4.8% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 12.9% 14.9% 22.8% 11.7% 3.4%
Laine Meelheim 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.5% 5.5% 11.0% 44.0% 27.1%
Christopher Cormier 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 1.1% 1.9% 3.1% 3.9% 20.7% 67.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.