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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+6.79vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.54+5.47vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.18+2.07vs Predicted
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41.05+3.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.42+1.84vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+1.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97-1.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.78-1.87vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46-1.89vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.94-3.98vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.60-4.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.07-4.35vs Predicted
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13Harvard University-0.20-1.92vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.29-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.79Boston University1.016.8%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University1.546.7%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.1813.8%1st Place
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7.721.056.6%1st Place
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6.84Brown University1.426.7%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.254.9%1st Place
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5.36Boston College1.9711.7%1st Place
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6.13Brown University1.789.2%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University0.467.8%1st Place
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6.02Fordham University1.949.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University1.608.4%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.075.9%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University-0.201.8%1st Place
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12.94Columbia University-1.290.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Olin Guck | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.5% |
| Connor Macken | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Peter Joslin | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 32.5% | 20.1% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 13.8% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.