Race 13B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Farina 14.8% 12.4% 12.6% 11.5% 10.4% 7.7% 8.8% 6.6% 5.7% 4.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 5.0% 5.3% 4.6% 5.5% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 10.2% 12.4% 6.9% 1.8%
Olin Guck 6.2% 5.5% 5.3% 6.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 10.4% 8.4% 1.2%
Peter Lobaugh 10.1% 10.6% 9.6% 10.3% 9.8% 8.7% 7.8% 7.5% 6.9% 6.9% 5.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Max Katz-Christy 7.0% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 6.5% 7.5% 6.8% 8.0% 7.8% 10.0% 10.2% 9.5% 6.5% 1.4%
Hunter Zonnenberg 9.0% 8.9% 9.8% 9.7% 9.2% 10.4% 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 7.0% 5.5% 4.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Jack Roman 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.8% 8.9% 8.4% 8.3% 6.5% 6.4% 3.7% 2.3% 0.8%
Joshua Dillon 6.2% 6.2% 4.9% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 6.8% 7.7% 9.2% 7.6% 10.2% 11.8% 7.1% 2.2%
Bryan Trammell 5.9% 5.8% 6.3% 6.5% 6.0% 7.5% 8.6% 6.9% 8.8% 9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 8.1% 1.1%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.8% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.7% 5.2% 6.8% 11.4% 35.0% 17.9%
Emil Tullberg 7.3% 6.4% 7.4% 6.2% 8.2% 7.6% 8.5% 8.2% 8.6% 9.7% 8.9% 7.3% 4.7% 0.9%
Connor Macken 6.9% 8.3% 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.6% 7.5% 8.9% 8.6% 8.4% 7.0% 7.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Peter Joslin 11.0% 12.3% 11.8% 10.7% 9.8% 10.3% 8.5% 7.7% 6.5% 5.1% 3.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Alison Keenan 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 4.5% 12.5% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.