Race 8A

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Don Hause III 20.8% 19.1% 14.6% 15.9% 10.7% 10.3% 4.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Gerard Tonachel 19.3% 18.0% 15.7% 13.4% 11.2% 8.7% 8.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Peck 13.9% 12.1% 15.0% 13.8% 12.4% 12.1% 9.8% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Zachary Schippe 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 8.6% 9.1% 13.5% 12.6% 15.5% 14.8% 5.1% 0.9%
Samantha Gebb 6.9% 8.8% 9.0% 9.1% 11.7% 11.5% 12.9% 12.0% 13.2% 4.2% 0.7%
Joan Boyle 6.3% 8.7% 8.1% 9.0% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 14.6% 12.5% 5.1% 1.0%
Eric Siegel 15.6% 15.2% 13.8% 13.0% 14.0% 8.8% 9.6% 5.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Sarah Celone 4.9% 3.8% 4.9% 8.1% 7.8% 9.2% 11.3% 16.0% 21.5% 10.1% 2.4%
Laine Meelheim 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 4.4% 10.6% 45.6% 27.4%
Christopher Cormier 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 2.8% 4.0% 21.8% 66.3%
Annie Eckmann 5.0% 6.8% 9.6% 7.2% 9.5% 11.0% 13.7% 15.5% 14.9% 5.6% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.