Race 9A

central-fall-2

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Don Hause III 20.3% 19.3% 16.7% 13.3% 13.0% 9.1% 5.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Gebb 7.4% 6.6% 9.9% 10.0% 9.7% 13.3% 13.8% 12.6% 12.6% 3.7% 0.4%
Gerard Tonachel 17.3% 16.8% 16.6% 13.1% 12.7% 9.5% 8.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachary Schippe 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 8.5% 10.5% 11.2% 14.5% 16.3% 12.4% 5.7% 0.8%
Eric Siegel 14.9% 15.2% 11.6% 14.2% 13.3% 9.5% 9.5% 6.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Joan Boyle 6.3% 8.5% 8.0% 9.9% 10.3% 11.8% 12.2% 14.2% 13.0% 5.2% 0.6%
Annie Eckmann 6.8% 6.4% 8.1% 7.7% 10.4% 12.0% 12.2% 15.0% 14.6% 6.2% 0.6%
Charles Peck 15.6% 15.2% 14.9% 15.4% 9.6% 11.9% 7.4% 5.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Sarah Celone 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 6.0% 7.6% 8.4% 11.7% 14.4% 22.9% 11.6% 3.6%
Laine Meelheim 0.8% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 3.6% 6.4% 10.0% 44.7% 26.8%
Christopher Cormier 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 4.4% 20.5% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.