Race 2B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mary Buhl 5.1% 7.4% 10.1% 9.5% 12.3% 12.7% 13.4% 13.5% 10.4% 4.5% 1.1%
Marissa Golison 28.2% 23.6% 15.6% 12.4% 10.2% 5.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 16.1% 17.2% 17.8% 14.0% 12.3% 10.5% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Geary 16.1% 14.9% 15.7% 16.3% 12.5% 11.1% 6.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Sarah Gross 2.7% 3.4% 2.9% 4.7% 5.0% 7.2% 7.7% 10.9% 18.7% 22.9% 13.9%
Jennifer Kempton 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 9.0% 9.1% 12.1% 12.7% 13.4% 11.9% 8.6% 2.6%
Courtney Williams 6.2% 4.7% 6.9% 8.5% 9.6% 10.4% 12.5% 14.4% 13.7% 9.9% 3.2%
Siobhan Ryan 2.3% 3.0% 2.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.7% 9.7% 13.4% 15.7% 24.0% 13.5%
Chris Myers 11.1% 12.2% 13.7% 12.6% 13.6% 11.1% 11.8% 7.2% 3.5% 2.8% 0.4%
Trevor VonKaenel 5.2% 6.0% 6.4% 7.7% 9.3% 10.2% 12.1% 14.4% 14.4% 11.4% 2.9%
James Rush 0.8% 0.4% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 3.0% 3.2% 4.5% 7.6% 14.7% 62.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.