Race 3B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marissa Golison 25.5% 23.6% 16.3% 15.0% 9.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Christian Geary 17.2% 17.5% 16.0% 14.0% 12.6% 9.3% 6.9% 3.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Emma Ferris 16.0% 16.4% 17.7% 13.9% 13.7% 10.5% 6.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Jennifer Kempton 5.5% 4.6% 7.1% 8.8% 9.3% 12.5% 14.0% 15.8% 11.6% 8.2% 2.6%
Trevor VonKaenel 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 8.6% 8.1% 10.3% 12.9% 15.4% 14.5% 10.7% 3.5%
Mary Buhl 6.8% 7.8% 9.4% 9.7% 10.8% 12.3% 14.1% 11.5% 10.0% 5.9% 1.7%
Chris Myers 12.7% 14.5% 13.4% 12.1% 13.6% 12.0% 8.9% 6.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Courtney Williams 5.2% 5.1% 6.1% 9.7% 9.2% 11.4% 12.8% 12.9% 13.7% 11.2% 2.7%
Sarah Gross 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 4.7% 6.2% 8.7% 13.6% 17.8% 23.5% 12.7%
Siobhan Ryan 3.0% 2.2% 3.4% 3.0% 6.4% 7.2% 9.1% 12.3% 17.2% 23.9% 12.3%
James Rush 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 3.5% 4.2% 7.4% 13.8% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.