Race 4B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Marissa Golison 27.2% 23.0% 17.3% 13.5% 8.7% 6.4% 2.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Buhl 7.4% 7.3% 9.0% 11.2% 12.0% 13.5% 11.1% 12.4% 10.5% 4.4% 1.2%
Christian Geary 14.6% 16.5% 17.1% 13.0% 13.7% 10.2% 8.1% 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Emma Ferris 16.8% 16.6% 16.8% 15.6% 12.9% 9.4% 6.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Chris Myers 12.8% 12.5% 12.7% 12.0% 12.6% 11.8% 11.3% 7.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.0%
Courtney Williams 4.2% 5.2% 6.7% 7.3% 9.1% 10.7% 13.3% 16.1% 11.7% 11.3% 4.4%
Siobhan Ryan 3.0% 3.6% 2.9% 3.3% 5.5% 7.0% 7.9% 11.7% 19.1% 23.0% 13.0%
Trevor VonKaenel 5.2% 5.1% 6.2% 9.1% 8.8% 11.1% 11.9% 14.0% 13.3% 12.6% 2.7%
Jennifer Kempton 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 8.7% 9.4% 12.0% 14.5% 11.9% 13.8% 6.9% 3.5%
Sarah Gross 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 6.1% 8.8% 13.1% 17.6% 23.7% 11.6%
James Rush 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 4.1% 3.8% 7.2% 14.0% 63.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.