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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas1.41+3.17vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.20+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.31+0.39vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University1.25-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.25+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.54-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.15-0.40vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.56-3.99vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.69-5.05vs Predicted
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13Denison University-1.36-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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5.17University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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3.29Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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5.52Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.01Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.95Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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10.85Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 68.2% | 22.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wilson | 4.0% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Cornew | 12.2% | 27.3% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 0.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 6.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| John O'Brien | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 13.3% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Miles Lubin | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 9.6% |
| Steven Catlin | 1.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.