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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+3.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.13vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University2.27+1.97vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.72+0.08vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+2.02vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.81+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.40-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.83-1.82vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+1.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.95-0.15vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.99-1.40vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.98-1.78vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.82-2.96vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-0.59-0.25vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.40-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Hawaii2.4114.2%1st Place
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7.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.677.1%1st Place
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4.97San Diego State University2.2714.0%1st Place
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4.08Stanford University2.7218.4%1st Place
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7.02California Poly Maritime Academy1.926.5%1st Place
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6.62Western Washington University1.818.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Southern California1.406.2%1st Place
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6.18University of Washington1.838.9%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.912.0%1st Place
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9.85University of California at San Diego0.952.9%1st Place
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9.6Arizona State University0.992.7%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Berkeley0.982.5%1st Place
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10.04California State University Channel Islands0.823.1%1st Place
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13.75Santa Clara University-0.590.8%1st Place
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11.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.352.2%1st Place
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13.2University of Oregon-0.400.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Harris | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stone | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Juan Casal | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Paul Trudell | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 42.5% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 22.2% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.