Race 5B

central-fall-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Geary 14.5% 17.2% 15.4% 14.5% 13.7% 12.0% 6.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Chris Myers 12.4% 11.1% 13.2% 14.2% 11.4% 11.6% 10.2% 8.6% 5.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Mary Buhl 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 7.7% 10.7% 13.5% 13.7% 13.3% 10.3% 7.0% 1.8%
Marissa Golison 25.1% 22.2% 18.4% 14.0% 9.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Grasso 4.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.9% 7.5% 9.0% 12.1% 12.6% 15.3% 16.8% 6.9%
Trevor VonKaenel 3.9% 5.9% 5.5% 7.7% 8.4% 9.4% 13.0% 13.4% 14.8% 12.9% 5.1%
James Rush 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 1.7% 2.2% 4.2% 6.7% 12.7% 65.1%
Courtney Williams 5.0% 4.8% 6.7% 7.1% 10.4% 9.8% 13.5% 12.7% 13.5% 12.1% 4.4%
Jennifer Kempton 5.3% 6.6% 6.5% 9.3% 8.8% 11.9% 12.5% 13.9% 12.9% 9.3% 3.0%
Emma Ferris 19.7% 17.1% 17.2% 12.6% 12.0% 9.5% 5.6% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Siobhan Ryan 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 12.0% 16.4% 26.5% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.